WC26·Predictor

past matches · prediction vs full time · generated 2026-06-17 17:01 MYT
Reading this honestly: picks frozen before kickoff are unmarked; RETRO rows are walk-forward backtest predictions for matches played before this system existed (model refit on data strictly before that matchday — never trained on the result, never using bookmaker odds).
8/18
outcomes
1/18
exact scores
1/3
lock picks
Jun 17 · 12:00 MYT STRONG
Austria
predicted
1–0
full time
3–1
Jordan
W 66%
D 20%
L 14%
outcome ✓ exact score ✗
Jun 17 · 09:00 MYT STRONG
Argentina
predicted
1–0
full time
3–0
Algeria
W 63%
D 23%
14%
outcome ✓ exact score ✗
Jun 17 · 06:00 MYT STRONG
Iraq
predicted
0–1
full time
1–4
Norway
14%
D 18%
L 68%
outcome ✓ exact score ✗
Jun 17 · 03:00 MYT STRONG
France
predicted
1–0
full time
3–1
Senegal
W 62%
D 22%
L 16%
outcome ✓ exact score ✗
Jun 16 · 03:00 MYT STRONG
Belgium
predicted
1–0
full time
1–1
Egypt
W 58%
D 24%
L 18%
outcome ✗ exact score ✗
Jun 16 · 09:00 MYT LEAN
Iran
predicted
1–0
full time
2–2
New Zealand
W 55%
D 26%
L 20%
outcome ✗ exact score ✗
Jun 16 · 00:00 MYT LOCK
Spain
predicted
2–0
full time
0–0
Cape Verde
W 82%
12%
outcome ✗ exact score ✗
Jun 16 · 06:00 MYT STRONG
Saudi Arabia
predicted
0–1
full time
1–1
Uruguay
13%
D 25%
L 62%
outcome ✗ exact score ✗
Jun 15 · 10:00 MYT TOSS-UP
Sweden
predicted
1–1
full time
5–1
Tunisia
W 42%
D 26%
L 31%
outcome ✓ exact score ✗
Jun 15 · 04:00 MYT LEAN
Netherlands
predicted
1–1
full time
2–2
Japan
W 45%
D 25%
L 30%
outcome ✗ exact score ✗
Jun 15 · 01:00 MYT LOCK
Germany
predicted
3–0
full time
7–1
Curaçao
W 89%
7%
outcome ✓ exact score ✗
Jun 15 · 07:00 MYT LEAN
Ivory Coast
predicted
0–0
full time
1–0
Ecuador
W 22%
D 45%
L 33%
outcome ✗ exact score ✗
Jun 14 · 03:00 MYT LOCK
Qatar
predicted
0–2
full time
1–1
Switzerland
10%
D 17%
L 74%
outcome ✗ exact score ✗
Jun 14 · 06:00 MYT STRONG
Brazil
predicted
1–0
full time
1–1
Morocco
W 58%
D 24%
L 18%
outcome ✗ exact score ✗
Jun 14 · 12:00 MYT LEAN
Australia
predicted
0–1
full time
2–0
Turkey
W 29%
D 24%
L 47%
outcome ✗ exact score ✗
Jun 14 · 09:00 MYT STRONG
Haiti
predicted
0–1
full time
0–1
Scotland
W 20%
D 23%
L 57%
outcome ✓ exact score ✓
Jun 13 · 09:00 MYT LEAN
United States
predicted
1–0
full time
4–1
Paraguay
W 46%
D 28%
L 26%
outcome ✓ exact score ✗
Jun 13 · 03:00 MYT STRONG
Canada
predicted
2–0
full time
1–1
Bosnia and Herzegovina
W 59%
D 24%
L 17%
outcome ✗ exact score ✗
Jun 12 · 10:00 MYT TOSS-UPretro
South Korea
predicted
1–1
full time
2–1
Czech Republic
W 42%
D 23%
L 35%
outcome ✓ exact score ✗
Jun 12 · 03:00 MYT STRONGretro
Mexico
predicted
1–0
full time
2–0
South Africa
W 68%
D 19%
12%
outcome ✓ exact score ✗